Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.116115 0.124555 0.133295 0.143029 0.153573 0.164656 0.177197
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.099529 0.111553 0.124632 0.139942 0.157408 0.176754 0.199861
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.092492 0.106811 0.122916 0.142430 0.165513 0.192041 0.224969
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.084731 0.100187 0.118042 0.140281 0.167365 0.199436 0.240518
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.078897 0.095199 0.114466 0.139045 0.169746 0.207063 0.256214
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072853 0.089454 0.109466 0.135529 0.168812 0.210208 0.266083
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068497 0.085461 0.106284 0.133926 0.169958 0.215741 0.278970
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.065544 0.083012 0.104825 0.134309 0.173495 0.224312 0.296056
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.061815 0.079343 0.101565 0.132090 0.173378 0.227914 0.306458
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059034 0.076744 0.099527 0.131312 0.175032 0.233817 0.320138
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058403 0.076929 0.101123 0.135424 0.183439 0.249212 0.347780
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055990 0.074591 0.099200 0.134579 0.184864 0.254873 0.361676
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053570 0.072202 0.097182 0.133615 0.186222 0.260709 0.376477
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050670 0.069034 0.093964 0.130816 0.184819 0.262504 0.385382
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.049677 0.068473 0.094333 0.133118 0.190873 0.275403 0.411699
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.047395 0.065981 0.091847 0.131127 0.190434 0.278540 0.422993
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045531 0.064006 0.090008 0.129981 0.191162 0.283402 0.437158
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043167 0.061210 0.086858 0.126723 0.188484 0.282842 0.442491
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.041462 0.059312 0.084946 0.125237 0.188444 0.286333 0.454526
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.040372 0.058280 0.084269 0.125592 0.191264 0.294423 0.474540
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.038696 0.056306 0.082100 0.123535 0.190142 0.296092 0.483741
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.037463 0.054957 0.080825 0.122813 0.191107 0.301154 0.498955
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.037447 0.055457 0.082383 0.126625 0.199586 0.318955 0.537287